EVENT-SECURITY MAPPING
Prediction Market Intelligence
Cross-platform prediction market events mapped to affected securities with real-time probability streams.
Overview
What's included
Event Probability Stream
Per-event probability time series with 24h/7d/30d changes, volume, open interest, and cross-platform normalization.
Security Sensitivity Scoring
Event-to-security mapping with sensitivity scores validated against historical price reactions.
Cross-Platform Normalization
Unified schema across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Metaculus. Compare identical events across venues.
Application
Event-Driven Trading
Use prediction market probabilities as a real-time gauge of political and economic event likelihood. Map probability shifts directly to affected securities.
Macro Hedging
Track probability of tariff changes, rate decisions, and regulatory actions. Pre-position before consensus shifts using crowd-sourced probability.
Cross-Market Arbitrage
Identify divergences between prediction market implied probabilities and options-implied probabilities on the same underlying events.
Request trial access.
90-day trial with restricted scope for backtesting. No commitment required.